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Old 11-20-2007, 10:01 PM   #1
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Default internet running out of space

San Francisco - Consumer and corporate use of the Internet could overload the current capacity and lead to brown-outs in two years unless backbone providers invest billions of dollars in new infrastructure, according to a study released Monday.
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A flood of new video and other Web content could overwhelm the Internet by 2010 unless backbone providers invest up to $137 billion in new capacity, more than double what service providers plan to invest, according to the study , by Nemertes Research Group, an independent analysis firm. In North America alone, backbone investments of $42 billion to $55 billion will be needed in the next three to five years to keep up with demand, Nemertes said.

The study is the first to "apply Moore's Law (or something very like it) to the pace of application innovation on the 'Net," the study says. "Our findings indicate that although core fiber and switching/routing resources will scale nicely to support virtually any conceivable user demand, Internet access infrastructure, specifically in North America, will likely cease to be adequate for supporting demand within the next three to five years."

The study confirms long-time concerns of the Internet Innovation Alliance (IIA), an advocacy group focused on upgrading U.S. broadband networks, said Bruce Mehlman, co-chairman of the group. The group, with members including AT&T, Level 3 Communications, Corning, Americans for Tax Reform, and the American Council of the Blind, has been warning people of the coming "exaflood" of video and other Web content that could clog its pipes.

The study gives "good, hard, unique data" on the IIA concerns about network capacity, Mehlman said. The Nemertes study suggests demand for Web applications like streaming and interactive video, peer-to-peer file transfers, and music downloads will accelerate, creating a demand for more capacity. Close to three quarters of U.S. Internet users watched an average of 158 minutes of video in May and viewed more than 8.3 billion video streams, according to research from comScore, an analysis group.

Internet users will create 161 exabytes of new data this year, and this exaflood is a positive development for Internet users and businesses, IIA says. An exabyte is 1 quintillion bytes or about 1.1 billion gigabytes. One exabyte is the equivalent of about 50,000 years of DVD-quality video.

Carriers and policy makers need to be aware of this demand, Mehlman added.

"Video has unleased an explosion of Internet content," Mehlman said. "We think the exaflood is generally not well understood and its investment implications not well defined."

The responsibility for keeping up with this growing demand lies with backbone providers and national policy makers, added Mehlman, also executive director of the Technology CEO Council, a trade group, and a former assistant secretary of technology policy in the U.S. Department of Commerce.

"It takes a digital village," he said. "Certainly, infrastructure providers have plenty to do. You've seen billions in investment, and you're seeing ongoing billions more."

U.S. lawmakers can also help in several ways, he said. For example, the U.S. Congress could require that home contractors who receive government assistance for building affordable housing include broadband connections in their houses, he said. Congress could also provide tax credits to help broadband providers add more capacity, he said.

Consumers also pay high taxes for telecommunication services, averaging about 13 percent on some telecom services, similar to the tax rate on tobacco and alcohol, Mehlman said. One tax on telecom service has remained in place since the 1898 Spanish-American War, when few U.S. residents had telephones, he noted.

"We think it's a mistake to treat telecom like a luxury and tax it like a sin," he said.


i dont want any taxing but it would be nice if every one got ride of dial up and got a good 24mb/s connection =D
oh well looks like were running out of space speed and every thing else needed.... im sure it will be fixed
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Old 11-20-2007, 10:04 PM   #2
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Default Re: internet running out of space

the internet is just a protocol for connecting computers, it cant run out of space, the servers can, the internet cant though. i guess HD manufacturers are wetting there pants over this though.

internet is basically just he HTTP protocol, although its more broad than that.
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Old 11-20-2007, 10:52 PM   #3
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Default Re: internet running out of space

theres a lot more tho as files become bigger the demand for highspeed internet is need and lets be honest most of the world is on a low speed dsl or dial up still
this is going to cause major back ups
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Old 11-21-2007, 12:27 AM   #4
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Default Re: internet running out of space

I dont think the internet actualy has a limited "space." The internet is constantly growing with infinate space, as long as we have the recourses to make HD's and servers. Now if all the HD companys just stopped making HD's and everyone in the world runs out of HD Space, thats a problem.
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Old 11-21-2007, 12:34 AM   #5
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Default Re: internet running out of space

I believe with all the PCs getting online we will have to use a new method for IP addresses, as there are only a certain amount of those available.
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Old 11-21-2007, 12:54 AM   #6
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Default Re: internet running out of space

we would have to get basically everyone in the world computers before we started running out of IP's. although the odds of the same IP being issued twice in a short period of time would be pretty good.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IP_address
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Old 11-21-2007, 12:55 AM   #7
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Default Re: internet running out of space

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudster816 View Post
the internet is just a protocol for connecting computers, it cant run out of space, the servers can, the internet cant though. i guess HD manufacturers are wetting there pants over this though.

internet is basically just he HTTP protocol, although its more broad than that.
Their talking about the internet backbone, not HD space
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Old 11-21-2007, 03:45 AM   #8
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Default Re: internet running out of space

we can simply add a new dot and new digits to the ip adress. numbers are infinite, we can add as many numbers as possible
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Old 11-21-2007, 03:45 AM   #9
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Default Re: internet running out of space

Quote:
Originally Posted by DJ-CHRIS View Post
Their talking about the internet backbone, not HD space
can u explain to me the concept of..backbone?
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